Auerbach vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
AUE
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AUE
0 - 0
MEU
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
GER
0 - 3
AUE
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 2
BDR
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MAG
1 - 1
AUE
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ERZ
1 - 1
POS
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GWW
2 - 2
ERZ
26%
25%
50%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ERZ
4 - 3
ROT
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
EIL
0 - 0
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 3
GER
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |