Auerbach vs Einheit Rudolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
6º
2º
5
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 66 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
20.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GER
4 - 3
AUE
42%
24%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 0
LFC
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 2
AUE
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
3 - 1
EWD
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
AUE
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Einheit Rudolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 1
MAG
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 2
EIN
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 2
VFL
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 2
VFB
32%
23%
46%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GER
3 - 3
EIN
67%
18%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |