Auerbach vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
COT
5 - 0
AUE
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
3 - 1
AUE
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
AUE
1 - 3
BAK
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
4 - 2
AUE
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
AUE
4 - 1
BAY
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EIL
1 - 3
CZJ
14%
19%
68%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
OPT
1 - 1
EIL
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
EIL
0 - 2
BFC
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 0
EIL
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
EIL
1 - 1
CHL
29%
26%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |