Auerbach vs Dynamo Dresden II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 2
AUE
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
AUE
0 - 3
RBL
10%
22%
67%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BDR
1 - 2
AUE
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AUE
2 - 1
ZWI
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
AUE
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DYN
5 - 0
GER
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 4
DYN
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DYN
2 - 1
GER
27%
24%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BUD
3 - 3
DYN
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DYN
0 - 2
RBL
9%
21%
70%
|
25 | 72 | 47 | -1 |