Auerbach vs Dresden-Laubegast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAG
3 - 0
AUE
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
AUE
2 - 3
OBE
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 1
HAL
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 2
DRE
26%
24%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
PLA
5 - 1
AUE
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Dresden-Laubegast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 1
CZJ
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
DRE
2 - 3
POS
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ZWI
0 - 1
DRE
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
DRE
0 - 3
MAG
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
OBE
5 - 0
DRE
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |