Auerbach vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
76.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 4
CZJ
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
OPT
4 - 2
AUE
46%
22%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
AUE
2 - 2
BFC
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
AUE
0 - 1
LIC
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 0
AUE
73%
15%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
MEU
1 - 1
CHE
9%
17%
73%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
CZJ
42%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GER
0 - 2
CHE
11%
18%
72%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 2
CHE
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
OPT
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |