Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
6º
15º
6º
54
5º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 2
AUE
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 0
AUE
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 0
UNI
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 1
SVB
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ZWI
5 - 1
AUE
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 0
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SVB
1 - 2
BUD
59%
19%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 0
LFC
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VFB
4 - 1
BUD
66%
18%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SVG
0 - 0
BUD
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |