Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AUE
0 - 2
ZWI
22%
25%
52%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AUE
3 - 0
WIS
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AUE
0 - 2
WAC
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GER
2 - 3
AUE
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
AUE
2 - 3
BAK
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
BUD
0 - 1
ZWI
18%
25%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
BUD
0 - 2
ERZ
10%
19%
72%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 0
BUD
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BUD
1 - 3
BAK
20%
25%
56%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
BUD
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |