Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
GER
2 - 0
AUE
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 1
EIL
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
OBE
1 - 4
AUE
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
AUE
1 - 1
HAL
31%
25%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
AUE
0 - 0
MAG
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BUD
1 - 1
HAL
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
GER
2 - 2
BUD
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BUD
1 - 1
SVG
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
EIL
1 - 3
BUD
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
BUD
6 - 0
TSV
80%
14%
7%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |