Audax São Paulo vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
AUD
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAP
61%
21%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUD
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 2
AUD
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
2 - 0
MOG
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
XVD
1 - 0
PPE
25%
25%
51%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
XVD
44%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
XVD
1 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
XVD
70%
21%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
XVD
2 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |