Audax São Paulo vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
4 - 1
NOR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
AUD
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
0 - 0
FER
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
AUD
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
0 - 2
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
VEL
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
SEP
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |