Audax São Paulo vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
AUD
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VOT
1 - 1
AUD
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 2
CAP
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 2
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
DES
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
USA
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
DES
0 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 2
DES
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |