Paulista A3 Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Audax São Paulo vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 2
AUD
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 0
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUD
3 - 3
PRI
59%
23%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
AUD
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 4
AUD
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
RIO
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |