Audax São Paulo vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAO
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 3
AUD
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 0
SEP
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
AUD
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUD
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
XVD
3 - 3
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
RBB
0 - 1
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |