Audax São Paulo vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 0
AUD
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AUD
1 - 0
LIN
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 3
AUD
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 2
AUD
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 0
OSV
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
AME
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AME
4 - 2
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AME
4 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 0
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |