Carioca A2 Etapas Finales Final
Global 5-2
Audax Rio vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PET
1 - 2
AUD
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
PET
2 - 0
AUD
34%
28%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 1
AFC
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
AUD
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 0
FRI
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PET
1 - 2
AUD
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
PET
2 - 0
AUD
34%
28%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PET
1 - 0
CMA
24%
23%
54%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
PET
1 - 3
CMA
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
PET
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |