Audax Rio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
71.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
3 - 5
BON
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AUD
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
2 - 1
BOA
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FRI
3 - 0
AUD
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
0 - 0
VOL
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
MAC
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 3
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
VOL
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |