Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Audax Italiano vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
5 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
USF
2 - 2
ACS
33%
25%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CSL
3 - 2
ACS
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
OHI
53%
23%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
BVS
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |