Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-1
Audax Italiano vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LOT
1 - 2
ACS
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 1
CSL
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 1
DLS
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
PUE
0 - 4
ACS
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CDM
1 - 3
ACS
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
REA
1 - 0
JWI
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
JWI
1 - 3
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
JWI
1 - 1
DES
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -4 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BLO
1 - 2
JWI
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2007 |
JWI
2 - 3
STR
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |