Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-3
Audax Italiano vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
ACS
19%
22%
60%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DER
1 - 3
ACS
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 2
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DCO
2 - 1
ACS
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 1
ACS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
ACS
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
REN
2 - 3
DSC
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DSC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
LIM
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
DSC
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |