Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-4
Audax Italiano vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
UCH
2 - 2
ACS
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
ACS
2 - 1
OHI
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
IQU
2 - 1
ACS
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ULC
3 - 2
ACS
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ACS
0 - 0
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 3
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
5 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
TIG
1 - 1
BOL
22%
21%
56%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAL
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 1
JWI
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |