Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Audax Italiano vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACS
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ACS
3 - 1
PAL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 0
ACS
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 2
ACS
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 0
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 4
COQ
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CSL
1 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |