Audax Italiano II vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
FVC
3 - 2
AII
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
AII
5 - 1
RTI
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
USF
1 - 3
AII
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AII
2 - 0
UEI
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DCO
0 - 0
AII
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CDM
1 - 1
CDP
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FVC
0 - 0
CDM
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
2 - 1
RTI
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
USF
3 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
3 - 3
UEI
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |