Audace Cerignola vs Pomigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 0
FCF
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PIC
4 - 1
AUD
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
AEE
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 0
AUD
35%
27%
39%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AUD
3 - 0
GEL
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
POM
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
POM
0 - 1
TAR
11%
19%
70%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
POM
1 - 1
SOR
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FCF
3 - 1
POM
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
POM
0 - 2
PIC
16%
23%
61%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |