Audace Cerignola vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 1
AUD
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 2
AUD
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
4 - 2
GLA
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 0
AUD
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOC
2 - 0
MOL
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NOC
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOC
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOC
2 - 0
ASD
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 2
NOC
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |