Audace Cerignola vs Nerostellati Frattese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
AUD
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 2
RPO
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 1
RAA
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 1
AUD
16%
22%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
RPO
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NFR
1 - 0
TAR
24%
23%
52%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RAA
1 - 2
NFR
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NFR
2 - 2
SFM
86%
10%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
NFR
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NFR
2 - 1
NAR
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +3 |