Audace Cerignola vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
4 - 1
SSM
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 2
GRA
79%
14%
6%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 1
AUD
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 0
SFM
92%
7%
2%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAT
13%
24%
63%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
REC
4 - 0
MON
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
AVE
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 0
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
LAQ
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |