Audace Cerignola vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 2
AUD
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 1
HYR
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 2
PIC
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
AUD
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 0
POM
75%
18%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 3
FIA
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 0
PIC
57%
25%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SOR
0 - 0
FIA
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FIA
1 - 0
AEE
65%
22%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |