Audace Cerignola vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
43
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 70 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 67 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 66 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 66 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 63 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 61 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 60 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 55 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 54 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 52 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 49 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 47 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 44 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 42 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 38 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 33 |
18º
|
60.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 26 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 21 |
20º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
41.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 31% |
|
Next round
|
17.5% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
USF
0 - 1
AUD
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 1
PIC
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TRA
5 - 1
AUD
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
SOR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
AUD
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 2
BEN
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSC
1 - 3
CRO
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
TAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CRO
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 4
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |