Audace Cerignola vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASF
3 - 3
AUD
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 1
ASD
91%
8%
2%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SOR
0 - 3
AUD
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 4
AUD
11%
22%
68%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 0
ROT
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 1
LAV
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MOL
5 - 0
NAR
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 4
MOL
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MOL
2 - 2
BIS
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 0
MOL
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |