FK Auda vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
8º
4º
13
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 81 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 73 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 38 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUD
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 5
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |