FK Auda vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TNV
4 - 1
AUD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
TNV
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
2 - 5
RIG
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 4
AUD
28%
25%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKJ
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 2
LIE
12%
22%
66%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 3
RIG
12%
18%
70%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKJ
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |