FK Auda vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
4º
8º
4º
87
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 4
AUD
24%
26%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
AUD
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
AUD
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
FCD
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 4
CAR
3%
8%
89%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 4
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |