Auckland United vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
8º
8º
7
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
AFC
24%
21%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 4
WEL
50%
20%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 2
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
57%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
AFC
15%
17%
68%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 5
EAS
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
NAP
79%
12%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
NAP
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
NAP
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |