Auckland United vs East Coast Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
5º
22
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
WES
3 - 1
AFC
62%
18%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
6 - 1
WCR
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
AFC
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 0
AFC
44%
21%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
East Coast Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 3
AUC
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 2
ECB
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 0
ECB
76%
14%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
2 - 2
HAW
39%
20%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 2
WES
23%
19%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -2 |