Auckland United vs East Coast Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
5º
22
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
WES
3 - 1
AFC
62%
18%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
6 - 1
WCR
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
AFC
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 0
AFC
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
East Coast Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 3
AUC
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 2
ECB
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 0
ECB
76%
14%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
2 - 2
HAW
39%
20%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 2
WES
23%
19%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |