Auckland United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
5º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 3
NAP
71%
15%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
AFC
24%
21%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 4
WEL
50%
20%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 2
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
57%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 3
AUC
56%
20%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
WEL
36%
21%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 0
AUC
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 0
AUC
54%
21%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |