Auckland City vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
2º
1º
28
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 19 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 17 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 13 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
BAO
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
7 - 3
MEL
90%
8%
3%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 3
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 5
AUC
8%
16%
77%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
TCU
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 4
WES
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WES
7 - 1
TCU
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 2
WES
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WES
2 - 0
BAO
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WES
25%
20%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |