Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 2
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
21%
25%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
TEA
3 - 0
WEL
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 1
TAS
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
WEL
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WAI
0 - 2
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 4
EAS
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |