Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 2
AUC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
AUC
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 1
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
4 - 1
WEL
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WEL
3 - 4
WAI
46%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 2
WEL
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
5 - 5
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
WAI
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |