Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
3º
1º
20
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 2
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 2
AUC
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 4
AUC
8%
15%
77%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
5 - 2
CHR
70%
16%
14%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 1
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
57%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
58%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |