Auckland City vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 0
TEA
45%
22%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
4 - 2
TEF
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
AMI
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
TOT
1 - 2
AUC
6%
12%
82%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AUC
4 - 0
SOL
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 29 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 2
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 4
TEA
26%
23%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AUC
5 - 1
WAI
74%
16%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
6 - 0
SOU
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |