Auckland City vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
0 - 1
AUC
54%
23%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
AUC
5 - 0
HAW
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AUC
3 - 1
MAN
69%
18%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TEF
1 - 1
AUC
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
2 - 2
OTA
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 0
HAW
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MAN
5 - 2
WAI
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 3
WAI
24%
24%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 2
WAI
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |