Auckland City vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 1
AUC
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
PVS
0 - 2
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 1
AUC
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
WAI
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |