Premiership Playoff Título Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Auckland City vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 0
AUC
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 3
AUC
20%
25%
56%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HEK
1 - 1
AUC
9%
15%
77%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 0
AUC
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
HAW
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |