Auckland City vs Tauranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
2º
1º
20
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 51 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 46 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 44 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 36 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 32 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 16 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 11 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
AUC
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 3
AUC
56%
20%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
WEL
36%
21%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 4
AFC
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
4 - 0
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
0 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
6 - 0
MUF
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ABC
0 - 9
TCU
5%
11%
84%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |