Auckland City vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
AUC
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 1
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 3
AUC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
HAW
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
CAN
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TEA
4 - 1
SOU
78%
14%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAI
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
WEL
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 0
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |