Auckland City vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 1
AUC
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 2
WAI
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 3
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
WAN
0 - 1
AUC
24%
26%
51%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 3
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
3 - 1
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
CAN
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
WAI
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
WAN
3 - 3
SOU
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HAW
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |