OFC Champions Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Auckland City vs AS Pirae analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.3%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.3%
1.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
DRA
0 - 3
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
NAD
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
65%
19%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
4 - 1
WAI
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AS Pirae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
3 - 1
WAI
9%
14%
77%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
8 - 0
KIW
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 2
PIR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PIR
5 - 0
TAM
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PIR
13 - 0
OLY
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |