Auckland City vs Melville United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
2º
1º
9
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 19 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 17 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 13 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 3
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 5
AUC
8%
16%
77%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
TCU
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
AUC
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
AFC
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
7 - 1
MEL
45%
22%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 4
BIR
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 2
MEL
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
4 - 0
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |