Auckland City vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
1º
1º
36
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
AUC
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AUC
9 - 0
BBA
88%
9%
4%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MUF
0 - 5
AUC
7%
14%
78%
|
57 | 19 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAO
0 - 1
AUC
7%
14%
79%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
AUC
12%
14%
74%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AFC
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
MAN
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EAS
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
BIR
9%
13%
78%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAO
49%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |